Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anastasia Potapova v Venus Williams

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-29 01:10 UTC

Score final : Anastasia Potapova 2–0 Venus Williams

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prévision 84.26%1.19cote équitable
EV +57.56%
Avantage +30.78%
Kelly +66.16%
Croissance +38.08%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%82.36%84.15%86.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.151.131.8791.74%87.31%88.50%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Venus Williams (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.74%6.35cote équitable
EV +9.89%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.164%

avec la cote maximale 6.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.83%17.64%15.85%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.875.685.636.9853.48%17.61%17.78%14.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anastasia Potapova (Local) : 84.26% ; Venus Williams (Visiteur) : 15.74%. Pour Anastasia Potapova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.19. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.87, soit une espérance positive de +57.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +57.56%E +30.78%K +66.16%G +38.08%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -70.56%E -37.73%K -81.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 01:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.42%E -1.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.35%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 01:09
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:55
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 03:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 07:54
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.75%E -0.785%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.56%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.56%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.93%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.07%EV +0.286%E +0.045%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 00:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.11%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 21:19
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 00:59
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 00:24
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.35%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 01:09
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 01:09
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.17%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +9.89%E +1.42%K +1.65%G +0.164%3.6%2026-07-29 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.06%E +0.615%K +0.725%G +0.029%4.4%2026-07-29 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.06%E +0.615%K +0.725%G +0.029%4.4%2026-07-29 00:39
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010%4.7%2026-07-28 05:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:35
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:07
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.39%E -0.386%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 01:00
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 00:24
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 09:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 21:19
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 01:44
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 01:07
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 01:07
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010%5.5%2026-07-29 00:34
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010%5.5%2026-07-29 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 01:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 01:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -8.16%E -7.49%K -90.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -2.39%E -0.386%K -0.460%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-07-29 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-07-29 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-07-29 01:09
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-07-29 01:00
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-07-29 01:05
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%2.0%2026-07-29 01:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 86.87%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.13%2.8%2026-07-29 01:04