Idioma:Español
Anastasia Potapova v Venus Williams
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Predicción 84.26%1.19momio equitativo
EV +57.56%
Ventaja +30.78%
Kelly +66.16%
Crecimiento +38.08%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%82.36%84.15%86.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.151.131.8791.74%87.31%88.50%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Venus Williams (Visitante)
Predicción 15.74%6.35momio equitativo
EV +9.89%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.164%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.83%17.64%15.85%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.875.685.636.9853.48%17.61%17.78%14.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 84.26%; Venus Williams (Visitante): 15.74%. Para Anastasia Potapova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.19. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +57.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +57.56%E +30.78%K +66.16%G +38.08% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -70.56%E -37.73%K -81.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.42%E -1.21%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.35%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 03:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.75%E -0.785%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.56%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.56%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.93%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.07%EV +0.286%E +0.045%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 00:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.11%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.35%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.17%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +9.89%E +1.42%K +1.65%G +0.164% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.06%E +0.615%K +0.725%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.06%E +0.615%K +0.725%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 05:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.39%E -0.386%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 01:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 01:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 01:07 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -8.16%E -7.49%K -90.67%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -2.39%E -0.386%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.87% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.13% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |