Language:English
Thea Frodin v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thea Frodin (Local)
Prediction 8.24%12.14fair odd
EV +73.03%
Edge +3.48%
Kelly +3.65%
Growth +2.67%
assuming max odds 21.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.63%8.08%8.22%11.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.8412.2521.0011.76%8.45%8.16%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 91.76%1.09fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -25.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.82%91.92%91.78%95.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.031.0799.01%96.50%97.09%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thea Frodin (Local): 8.24%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 91.76%. For Thea Frodin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.14. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 21.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +73.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +73.03%E +3.48%K +3.65%G +2.67% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 15.20I 6.58%NM 6.40%EV +25.24%E +1.66%K +1.78%G +0.449% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.60%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +19.47%E +1.34%K +1.44%G +0.281% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 18:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +19.47%E +1.34%K +1.44%G +0.281% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 13.95I 7.17%NM 6.88%EV +14.94%E +1.07%K +1.15%G +0.172% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.12%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV +13.29%E +0.967%K +1.04%G +0.139% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.29%E +0.488%K +0.529%G +0.033% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 18:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 18:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.24%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.24%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 14:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.64I 9.40%NM 9.06%EV -12.33%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.94%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -13.48%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.54%E -1.52%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -18.43%E -1.86%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.72%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.72%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -24.20%E -2.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 07:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.84%E -2.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -29.96%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.82%E -1.70%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -29.96%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |