Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thea Frodin v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-09-01 18:50 UTC

Final: Thea Frodin 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thea Frodin (Local)

Previsão 8.24%12.14odd justa
EV +73.03%
Vantagem +3.48%
Kelly +3.65%
Crescimento +2.67%

pressupondo odds máximas de 21.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.63%8.08%8.22%11.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.5011.8412.2521.0011.76%8.45%8.16%4.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 91.76%1.09odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -25.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.82%91.92%91.78%95.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.031.0799.01%96.50%97.09%93.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Thea Frodin (Local): 8.24%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 91.76%. Para Thea Frodin (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.14. 28 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 21.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +73.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +73.03%E +3.48%K +3.65%G +2.67%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 23:05
DraftKings🎯15.20I 6.58%NM 6.40%EV +25.24%E +1.66%K +1.78%G +0.449%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.60%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-01 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +19.47%E +1.34%K +1.44%G +0.281%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 18:46
Winamax (FR)🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +19.47%E +1.34%K +1.44%G +0.281%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 18:45
GTbets🎯13.95I 7.17%NM 6.88%EV +14.94%E +1.07%K +1.15%G +0.172%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.12%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:45
ReBet🎯13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV +13.29%E +0.967%K +1.04%G +0.139%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 07:10
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 23:04
1xBet🎯12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.29%E +0.488%K +0.529%G +0.033%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:40
BetRivers🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Grosvenor🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Casumo🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:11
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Bally Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
betPARX🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
MyBookie.ag🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 18:49
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 07:10
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:48
theScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 18:46
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Fanatics🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.24%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:50
Betsson🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.24%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:45
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:40
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:01
betano_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:43
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:00
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 14:06
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:45
Pinnacle🎯10.64I 9.40%NM 9.06%EV -12.33%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.94%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -13.48%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.54%E -1.52%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:05
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:00
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:45
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:00
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:05
FanDuel🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -18.43%E -1.86%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 18:05
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.72%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:05
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.72%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:05
BetAnything🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -24.20%E -2.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.84%E -2.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 18:01
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -29.96%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.82%E -1.70%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:01
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -29.96%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-09-01 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-09-01 18:45
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-09-01 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
ProphetX◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-09-01 18:45
Novig◎10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70%2.1%2026-09-01 18:45
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%3.0%2026-09-01 18:45