Langue:Français
Thea Frodin v Elena Rybakina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Thea Frodin (Local)
Prévision 8.24%12.14cote équitable
EV +73.03%
Avantage +3.48%
Kelly +3.65%
Croissance +2.67%
avec la cote maximale 21.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.63%8.08%8.22%11.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5011.8412.2521.0011.76%8.45%8.16%4.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)
Prévision 91.76%1.09cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -25.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.82%91.92%91.78%95.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.031.0799.01%96.50%97.09%93.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Thea Frodin (Local) : 8.24% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 91.76%. Pour Thea Frodin (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.14. 28 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 21.00, soit une espérance positive de +73.03%.
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +73.03%E +3.48%K +3.65%G +2.67% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 15.20I 6.58%NM 6.40%EV +25.24%E +1.66%K +1.78%G +0.449% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.60%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +19.47%E +1.34%K +1.44%G +0.281% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 18:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +19.47%E +1.34%K +1.44%G +0.281% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 13.95I 7.17%NM 6.88%EV +14.94%E +1.07%K +1.15%G +0.172% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.12%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV +13.29%E +0.967%K +1.04%G +0.139% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.11%E +0.547%K +0.593%G +0.042% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +6.29%E +0.488%K +0.529%G +0.033% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +2.99%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 18:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 18:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.13%E -0.094%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.24%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.24%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 14:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.36%E -0.851%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.49%E -5.33%K -182.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.64I 9.40%NM 9.06%EV -12.33%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.94%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -13.48%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.40%E -6.28%K -320.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.54%E -1.52%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.60%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -18.43%E -1.86%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.72%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.72%E -2.29%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -24.20%E -2.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -4.57%E -4.39%K -114.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 07:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.84%E -2.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.73%E -2.58%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -29.96%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.82%E -1.70%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -29.96%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.65%E -3.48%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |