Language:English
Tatjana Maria v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Prediction 42.19%2.37fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.18%42.21%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.242.3245.45%44.53%44.64%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 57.81%1.73fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.82%57.79%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.641.651.6862.89%60.85%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 42.19%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 57.81%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.13%E -0.916%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.13%E -0.916%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.13%E -0.916%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.55%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.55%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.08%E -5.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.77%E -3.54%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.77%E -3.54%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.23%E -1.87%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 21:33 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.23%E -1.87%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 06:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 06:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 10:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 15:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 21:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 06:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 06:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 21:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |