默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tatjana Maria v Jelena Ostapenko

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tatjana Maria (主队)

预测 41.82%2.39公平赔率

EV +2.46%

优势 +1.00%

Kelly +1.70%

增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

37.97%42.07%41.86%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.252.252.4548.78%44.51%44.44%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jelena Ostapenko (客队)

预测 58.18%1.72公平赔率

EV -0.514%

优势 -0.301%

Kelly -0.724%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

55.12%57.93%58.14%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.501.621.641.7166.67%61.61%60.98%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Tatjana Maria (主队)：41.82%；Jelena Ostapenko (客队)：58.18%。对于“Tatjana Maria (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.39。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.45，由此产生+2.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
SportsBet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.46%E +1.00%K +1.70%G +0.042%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.73%E -8.49%K -25.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 21:20
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.43%K -6.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-27 21:01
888sport🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-27 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 00:01
DraftKings🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.23%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 21:40
PlayUp🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.65%E -2.04%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-27 22:45
GTbets🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.00%E -2.43%K -6.16%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-27 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -5.17%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 01:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.43%K -6.16%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-27 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 20:35
BetRivers🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 20:36
ATG (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 20:35
Grosvenor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:40
Casumo🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:40
betPARX🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 21:50
TABtouch🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-27 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.17%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 01:20
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-27 21:55
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-27 20:35
LeoVegas🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-27 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-28 01:19
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.66%E -5.52%K -15.19%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-08-28 01:20
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.514%E -0.301%K -0.724%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -14.27%E -6.96%K -13.59%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -10.99%E -7.18%K -20.73%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-08-28 01:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Smarkets◎	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%	1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%	12.1%	2026-08-28 01:20

套利（1 种组合） +0.71%SportsBet 2.45 (41.1%) / BetMGM 1.71 (58.9%)显示详情

SportsBet🎯 BetMGM🎯

Tatjana Maria (主队)	Jelena Ostapenko (客队)	利润率
SportsBet🎯 2.45 (41.1%)	BetMGM🎯 1.71 (58.9%)	+0.709%

Tatjana Maria v Jelena Ostapenko

胜负盘

Tatjana Maria (主队)

Jelena Ostapenko (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (1)

博彩交易所 (1)