Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tatjana Maria v Jelena Ostapenko

Inizio: 2026-09-01 22:05 UTC

Finale: Tatjana Maria 2–1 Jelena Ostapenko

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tatjana Maria (Casa)

Previsione 42.19%2.37quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.916%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.87%42.18%42.21%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.252.242.3245.45%44.53%44.64%43.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.81%1.73quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -4.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%57.82%57.79%59.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.641.651.6862.89%60.85%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tatjana Maria (Casa): 42.19%; Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta): 57.81%. Per Tatjana Maria (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.37. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.32, con un valore atteso del -2.13%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.13%E -0.916%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.13%E -0.916%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.13%E -0.916%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:16
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.55%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 21:45
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.55%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 21:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 21:10
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.08%E -5.08%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:55
ReBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 14:40
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:15
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.77%E -3.54%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.77%E -3.54%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.23%E -1.87%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 21:33
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.23%E -1.87%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:58
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:24
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:10
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 11:54
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 10:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:55
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 11:54
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 11:54
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:55
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 20:10
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:45
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 11:55
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 11:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 10:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 11:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 10:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 15:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.34%E -3.92%K -10.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 11:54
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 21:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 06:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 06:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-09-01 21:51
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-09-01 21:50
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-09-01 21:45