Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tatjana Maria v Jelena Ostapenko

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tatjana Maria (Casa)

Previsione 41.82%2.39quota equa
EV +2.46%
Vantaggio +1.00%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.97%42.07%41.86%44.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.252.252.4548.78%44.51%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.18%1.72quota equa
EV -0.514%
Vantaggio -0.301%
Kelly -0.724%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%57.93%58.14%62.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.641.7166.67%61.61%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Tatjana Maria (Casa): 41.82%; Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta): 58.18%. Per Tatjana Maria (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.39. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.45, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.46%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.46%E +1.00%K +1.70%G +0.042%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.73%E -8.49%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 21:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.43%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 21:01
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 00:01
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.23%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.65%E -2.04%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 22:45
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.00%E -2.43%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -5.17%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 01:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.43%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 20:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:40
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.17%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 01:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 20:35
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 01:19
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.66%E -5.52%K -15.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 01:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.514%E -0.301%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -14.27%E -6.96%K -13.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -10.99%E -7.18%K -20.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-28 01:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%12.1%2026-08-28 01:20
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.71%SportsBet 2.45 (41.1%) / BetMGM 1.71 (58.9%)Mostra dettagli
Tatjana Maria (Casa)Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta)Margine
SportsBet🎯 2.45 (41.1%)BetMGM🎯 1.71 (58.9%)+0.709%