Language:English
Shuai Zhang v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shuai Zhang (Local)
Prediction 32.21%3.10fair odd
EV +4.69%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.098%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%32.07%32.30%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.82%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 67.79%1.48fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%67.93%67.70%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.63%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shuai Zhang (Local): 32.21%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 67.79%. For Shuai Zhang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.84%E -7.40%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 16:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.138%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.49%E -6.29%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.75%E -0.573%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 16:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.75%E -0.573%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%EV -2.39%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 17:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:22 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -3.68%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 04:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.00%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.42%E -3.14%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.42%E -3.14%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.71%E -1.18%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.78%E -4.16%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 00:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.63%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -5.78%E -4.16%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.39%E -1.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 17:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |