Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang v Leylah Fernandez

Início: 2026-08-30 17:18 UTC

Final: Shuai Zhang 0–2 Leylah Fernandez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Previsão 32.21%3.10odd justa
EV +4.69%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +2.09%
Crescimento +0.098%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.04%32.07%32.30%34.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.82%33.90%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Previsão 67.79%1.48odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.95%67.93%67.70%70.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.63%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shuai Zhang (Local): 32.21%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 67.79%. Para Shuai Zhang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.10. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:25
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.84%E -7.40%K -29.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 16:24
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.138%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.49%E -6.29%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:23
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.75%E -0.573%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 16:41
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.75%E -0.573%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%EV -2.39%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:04
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:22
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:05
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:10
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:40
GTbets🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -3.68%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 04:05
ReBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.00%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 09:10
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.42%E -3.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.42%E -3.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.71%E -1.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.78%E -4.16%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:29
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 00:41
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.63%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -5.78%E -4.16%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.39%E -1.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:25
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:14
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:51
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:15
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%1.4%2026-08-30 17:15
ProphetX◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-08-30 17:15
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%2.2%2026-08-30 17:10