Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shuai Zhang v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 17:18 UTC

Score final : Shuai Zhang 0–2 Leylah Fernandez

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 32.21%3.10cote équitable
EV +4.69%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.098%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.04%32.07%32.30%34.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.82%33.90%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.79%1.48cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%67.93%67.70%70.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.63%71.43%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shuai Zhang (Local) : 32.21% ; Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur) : 67.79%. Pour Shuai Zhang (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.10. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +4.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:25
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +4.69%E +1.44%K +2.09%G +0.098%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.84%E -7.40%K -29.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 16:24
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.138%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.49%E -6.29%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:23
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.75%E -0.573%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 16:41
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.75%E -0.573%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%EV -2.39%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:04
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:22
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:05
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:10
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.13%E -5.21%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:40
GTbets🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -3.68%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 04:05
ReBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.00%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 09:10
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.97%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.45%E -4.68%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.42%E -3.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.61%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.42%E -3.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.71%E -1.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.78%E -4.16%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:29
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 00:41
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.63%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -5.78%E -4.16%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.39%E -1.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:25
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.10%E -3.64%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:14
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.74%E -2.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:51
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:15
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-08-30 16:25
Novig◎3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%1.4%2026-08-30 17:15
ProphetX◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-08-30 17:15
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%2.2%2026-08-30 17:10