Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 2.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 54.72%; Polina Iatcenko (Visit): 45.28%. For Renata Zarazua (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.828. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.830, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.130%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.130%E +0.071%K +0.157%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 07:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 05:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 08:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 05:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 05:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.71%E -3.26%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +0.078%E +0.035%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +0.078%E +0.035%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.73%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 05:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 05:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |