Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua v Polina Iatcenko

Início: 2026-08-30 15:06 UTC

Final: Renata Zarazua 1–2 Polina Iatcenko

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Previsão 54.72%1.83odd justa
EV +0.130%
Vantagem +0.071%
Kelly +0.157%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%54.71%54.69%56.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.741.741.8359.52%57.53%57.47%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Polina Iatcenko (Visitante)

Previsão 45.28%2.21odd justa
EV +0.078%
Vantagem +0.035%
Kelly +0.064%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.62%45.29%45.31%47.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.102.2150.00%47.76%47.62%45.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Renata Zarazua (Local): 54.72%; Polina Iatcenko (Visitante): 45.28%. Para Renata Zarazua (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.828. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.830, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.130%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.130%E +0.071%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 09:20
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 05:54
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 08:09
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 05:29
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:29
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:38
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:55
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.71%E -3.26%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 05:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 05:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +0.078%E +0.035%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +0.078%E +0.035%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 05:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.73%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 05:46
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:45
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 05:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 02:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:35
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 14:45
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-30 14:40
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-08-30 14:55