La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Renata Zarazua v Polina Iatcenko

Inicio: 2026-08-30 15:06 UTC

Final: Renata Zarazua 1–2 Polina Iatcenko

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Predicción 54.72%1.83momio equitativo
EV +0.130%
Ventaja +0.071%
Kelly +0.157%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.22%54.71%54.69%56.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.741.741.8359.52%57.53%57.47%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Polina Iatcenko (Visitante)

Predicción 45.28%2.21momio equitativo
EV +0.078%
Ventaja +0.035%
Kelly +0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.62%45.29%45.31%47.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.2150.00%47.76%47.62%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Renata Zarazua (Local): 54.72%; Polina Iatcenko (Visitante): 45.28%. Para Renata Zarazua (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.828. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.830, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.130%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.130%E +0.071%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 09:20
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -8.07%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 05:54
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 08:09
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 05:29
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:29
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 05:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 05:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:38
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:55
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.45%E -2.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.71%E -3.26%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 05:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 05:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 05:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +0.078%E +0.035%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV +0.078%E +0.035%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 05:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.73%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 14:50
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 05:46
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:45
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 05:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 02:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:35
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 14:45
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-30 14:40
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-08-30 14:55