Language:English
Nikola Bartunkova v Mayar Sherif
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nikola Bartunkova (Local)
Prediction 80.36%1.24fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -17.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.35%80.36%81.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.191.2086.96%84.68%84.03%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mayar Sherif (Visit)
Prediction 19.64%5.09fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +0.777%
Kelly +0.958%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%19.65%19.64%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.794.755.3023.81%20.86%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 80.36%; Mayar Sherif (Visit): 19.64%. For Mayar Sherif (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +4.12%E +0.777%K +0.958%G +0.039% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 21:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.12%E +0.777%K +0.958%G +0.039% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.189%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.79%E -5.85%K -42.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.72%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -6.49%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.65%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.65%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.59%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -8.85%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.79%E -5.85%K -42.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.54%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 00:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |