Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Mayar Sherif

Início: 2026-09-02 01:00 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 2–0 Mayar Sherif

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Previsão 80.36%1.24odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -2.98%
Kelly -17.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.78%80.35%80.36%81.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.181.191.2086.96%84.68%84.03%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mayar Sherif (Visitante)

Previsão 19.64%5.09odd justa
EV +4.12%
Vantagem +0.777%
Kelly +0.958%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.08%19.65%19.64%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.794.755.3023.81%20.86%21.05%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 80.36%; Mayar Sherif (Visitante): 19.64%. Para Mayar Sherif (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.09. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +4.12%E +0.777%K +0.958%G +0.039%2.9%2026-09-01 21:16
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.12%E +0.777%K +0.958%G +0.039%4.3%2026-09-01 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011%3.3%2026-09-01 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011%3.3%2026-09-01 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011%6.2%2026-09-01 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.189%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 00:25
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:48
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.79%E -5.85%K -42.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.72%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 22:40
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 13:50
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -6.49%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:10
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:15
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:50
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:35
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:35
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 23:15
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.65%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.65%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.59%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -8.85%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:05
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 13:59
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.79%E -5.85%K -42.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.54%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 22:45
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-09-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-09-02 00:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-09-02 00:56
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32%2.0%2026-09-02 00:40
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-09-02 00:55
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%2.6%2026-09-02 00:55