Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Mayar Sherif

2026-09-01 18:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Predicción 78.01%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -13.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.07%77.84%79.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.2485.47%82.21%81.97%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mayar Sherif (Visitante)

Predicción 21.99%4.55momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.480%
Kelly +0.612%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.93%22.16%23.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.304.304.6525.64%23.27%23.26%21.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 78.01%; Mayar Sherif (Visitante): 21.99%. Para Mayar Sherif (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.55. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.65, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.23%E +0.480%K +0.612%G +0.014%4.8%2026-08-29 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.13%E +0.246%K +0.315%G +0.004%3.7%2026-08-29 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.13%E +0.246%K +0.315%G +0.004%3.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.26%E -2.63%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV -0.406%E -0.090%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.26%E -2.63%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.04%E -3.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 23:08
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 23:04
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.72%E -7.46%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.07%E -0.237%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.26%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 23:05
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.94%E -6.73%K -44.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.26%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.60%E -4.63%K -26.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.04%E -3.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.04%E -3.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 23:05
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.60%E -4.63%K -26.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.60%E -4.63%K -26.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:05
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.97%EV -4.04%E -3.29%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.03%EV -9.64%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 00:35
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.26%E -2.63%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.26%E -2.63%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.38%E -5.32%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.82%E -3.95%K -21.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 23:05
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.77%EV -7.94%E -6.73%K -44.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-08-30 00:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-29 23:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-29 23:35
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-30 01:05
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 78.31%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.69%8.2%2026-08-29 23:05
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%12.1%2026-08-30 00:20