Idioma:Español
Nikola Bartunkova v Mayar Sherif
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikola Bartunkova (Local)
Predicción 80.36%1.24momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -17.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.78%80.35%80.36%81.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.181.191.2086.96%84.68%84.03%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mayar Sherif (Visitante)
Predicción 19.64%5.09momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.777%
Kelly +0.958%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.08%19.65%19.64%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.794.755.3023.81%20.86%21.05%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 80.36%; Mayar Sherif (Visitante): 19.64%. Para Mayar Sherif (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.09. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.12%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +4.12%E +0.777%K +0.958%G +0.039% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 21:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.12%E +0.777%K +0.958%G +0.039% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.189%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.78%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.79%E -5.85%K -42.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.72%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -6.49%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -5.98%E -5.11%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.59%E -6.60%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.65%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.65%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.59%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -8.85%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.38%E -3.68%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.18%E -4.39%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.79%E -5.85%K -42.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.54%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.57%E -2.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 00:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 00:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |