Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Yuliia Starodubtseva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 64.07%1.56fair odd
EV -0.693%
Edge -0.447%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.08%63.93%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5571.43%67.11%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)
Prediction 35.93%2.78fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.843%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.92%36.07%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.05%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 64.07%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 35.93%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +2.40%E +0.843%K +1.30%G +0.031% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +2.40%E +0.843%K +1.30%G +0.031% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.54%E -3.04%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.68%E +0.595%K +0.920%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +0.606%E +0.217%K +0.337%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.19%E -0.433%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.19%E -0.433%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.91%E -0.699%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.54%E -3.04%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.27%E -0.834%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.99%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.99%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.99%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.99%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.46%E -4.42%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.99%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.99%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.06%E -1.52%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.06%E -1.52%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.46%E -4.42%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.78%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.54%E -3.04%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.14%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.50%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 21:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.10%E -4.90%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.74%E -5.38%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.86%E -2.24%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -6.22%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -6.22%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -6.22%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.18%E -3.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.82%E -3.96%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -0.693%E -0.447%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -6.94%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.97%E -1.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.61%E -1.72%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.61%E -1.72%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.61%E -1.72%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.26%E -2.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.38%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.90%E -2.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 09:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |