Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Sakkari v Yuliia Starodubtseva

2026-09-03 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Prévision 58.08%1.72cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -6.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.22%58.10%58.14%60.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.611.621.6564.52%61.93%61.73%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.92%2.39cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.74%41.90%41.86%42.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.302.3547.62%44.09%43.48%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Maria Sakkari (Local) : 58.08% ; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur) : 41.92%. Pour Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.39. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.35, pour une espérance de -1.49% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 23:50
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 00:16
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.75%E -2.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.26%E -2.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:45
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.01%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 00:49
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.43%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:45
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -5.26%E -2.33%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.10%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 04:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:51
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:51
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 04:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 04:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.36%E -3.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 04:45
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 04:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 00:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 02:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 02:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.43%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 00:51
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.43%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.68%E -2.53%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 01:58
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.29%E -4.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 04:44
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.29%E -4.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 04:41
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 04:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 04:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-09-02 04:50
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%11.4%2026-09-02 04:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%12.1%2026-09-02 04:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%18.5%2026-09-02 04:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%18.5%2026-09-02 04:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%18.5%2026-09-02 04:30
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 60.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.31%21.1%2026-09-02 04:35
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 53.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 46.44%50.6%2026-09-02 04:50