Language:English
Kaitlin Quevedo v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)
Prediction 17.89%5.59fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.419%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.54%18.00%17.83%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.115.035.7021.74%19.56%19.90%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 82.11%1.22fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -12.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.58%82.00%82.17%83.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1988.50%85.85%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kaitlin Quevedo (Local): 17.89%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 82.11%. For Kaitlin Quevedo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.08%EV +1.61%E +0.284%K +0.344%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.92%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 15:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -0.715%E -0.129%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 19:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.99%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.18%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.82%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.76%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -9.66%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 19:23 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.71%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.11%E -2.63%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.87% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |