Idioma:Español
Kaitlin Quevedo v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)
Predicción 17.89%5.59momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.345%
Kelly +0.419%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.54%18.00%17.83%20.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.115.035.7021.74%19.56%19.90%17.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 82.11%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -12.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.58%82.00%82.17%83.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.1988.50%85.85%86.21%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kaitlin Quevedo (Local): 17.89%; Elise Mertens (Visitante): 82.11%. Para Kaitlin Quevedo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.59. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.97%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.08%EV +1.61%E +0.284%K +0.344%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.92%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 15:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -0.715%E -0.129%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 19:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.99%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.18%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.82%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.76%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -9.66%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 19:23 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.71%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.11%E -2.63%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.87% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |