Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kaitlin Quevedo v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 20:24 UTC

Score final : Kaitlin Quevedo 0–2 Elise Mertens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)

Prévision 17.89%5.59cote équitable
EV +1.97%
Avantage +0.345%
Kelly +0.419%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.54%18.00%17.83%20.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.115.035.7021.74%19.56%19.90%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.11%1.22cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -12.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.58%82.00%82.17%83.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.161.161.1988.50%85.85%86.21%84.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kaitlin Quevedo (Local) : 17.89% ; Elise Mertens (Visiteur) : 82.11%. Pour Kaitlin Quevedo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.59. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 20:15
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 07:10
Pinnacle🎯5.68I 17.61%NM 17.08%EV +1.61%E +0.284%K +0.344%G +0.006%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.92%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 15:46
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 13:26
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 13:25
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -0.715%E -0.129%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 20:15
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 18:50
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:24
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:25
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 19:25
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 02:20
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 19:58
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:46
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:50
Fanatics🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 20:09
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 19:05
GTbets🎯5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.99%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:45
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:15
BetAnything🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 19:25
Betsson🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:44
DraftKings🎯5.22I 19.16%NM 18.18%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.82%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 19:25
LeoVegas🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.76%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -9.66%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:55
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:05
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:20
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 19:23
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 18:45
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 05:55
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.75%E -4.10%K -29.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 02:55
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 02:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:50
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 20:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 20:14
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.29%E -1.92%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.71%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.11%E -2.63%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-09-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-09-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-09-01 17:45
Matchbook◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-09-01 19:30
ProphetX◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%1.0%2026-09-01 20:15
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-09-01 18:55
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.13%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.87%2.3%2026-09-01 20:00
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%2.4%2026-09-01 20:05