Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 71.58%1.40fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -7.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.63%71.88%73.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.91%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%28.37%28.12%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.6532.26%29.23%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 71.58%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 28.42%. For Sorana Cirstea (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +3.44%E +0.946%K +1.30%G +0.045% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.31%E +0.641%K +0.887%G +0.020% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.38%E -6.54%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +0.885%E +0.249%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.23%E -4.75%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.96%E -0.567%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.23%E -4.75%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.96%E -0.567%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -2.24%E -0.651%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.23%E -4.75%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 22:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.65%E -1.95%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.65%E -1.95%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.37%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.65%E -1.95%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -7.92%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -10.20%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -10.20%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 13:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |