StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula v Sorana Cirstea

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-06 23:10 UTC

Endstand: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Sorana Cirstea

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula (Heim)

Prognose 71.58%1.40faire Quote
EV -2.65%
Vorteil -1.95%
Kelly -7.36%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%71.63%71.88%73.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.91%75.19%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.42%3.52faire Quote
EV +3.73%
Vorteil +1.02%
Kelly +1.41%
Wachstum +0.052%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.11%28.37%28.12%30.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.423.403.6532.26%29.23%29.41%27.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jessica Pegula (Heim): 71.58%; Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts): 28.42%. Für Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.52. 17 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.65 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.73%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +3.73%E +1.02%K +1.41%G +0.052%4.9%2026-09-06 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +3.44%E +0.946%K +1.30%G +0.045%2.7%2026-09-06 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.31%E +0.641%K +0.887%G +0.020%5.3%2026-09-06 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.38%E -6.54%K -29.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +0.885%E +0.249%K +0.347%G +0.003%6.3%2026-09-06 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.23%E -4.75%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 22:34
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.536%E -0.153%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.96%E -0.567%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.23%E -4.75%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.96%E -0.567%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:55
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -2.24%E -0.651%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 22:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.23%E -4.75%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 22:31
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:34
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:31
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.94%E -5.34%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:30
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.38%E -0.993%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:45
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 22:30
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.65%E -1.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.65%E -1.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 22:55
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.37%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.51%E -4.18%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 22:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.66%E -5.94%K -26.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 22:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.65%E -1.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.36%E -2.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:55
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:55
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -7.92%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 21:35
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 22:55
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -10.20%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -4.08%E -3.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -10.20%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 22:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.80%E -3.61%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 13:51
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-09-06 22:55
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-09-06 22:55
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22%1.0%2026-09-06 22:55
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-09-06 22:55
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-06 22:55