StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Emma Navarro

Matchstart: 2026-09-09 00:18 UTC

Slutresultat: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Emma Navarro

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 76.40%1.31rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -1.72%
Kelly -7.88%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.55%76.39%76.35%78.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Emma Navarro (Borta)

Prognos 23.60%4.24rättvist odds
EV +6.19%
Fördel +1.38%
Kelly +1.77%
Tillväxt +0.110%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.33%23.61%23.65%25.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.704.024.034.5027.03%24.88%24.81%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 76.40%; Emma Navarro (Borta): 23.60%. För Emma Navarro (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.24. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.19%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.19%E +1.38%K +1.77%G +0.110%4.2%2026-09-08 23:18
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.766%E +0.179%K +0.234%G +0.002%2.2%2026-09-09 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.294%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:50
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.32%E -6.93%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 03:50
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.07%E -0.498%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.673%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.673%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:45
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 00:13
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.90%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:44
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 02:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:50
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:56
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:49
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.97%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.36%EV -6.31%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 11:04
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 23:44
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 21:35
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.20%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.20%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:35
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:35
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 05:29
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.21%E -1.72%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 21:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 00:15
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 07:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 00:07
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-09-09 00:15
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-09-09 00:15
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-09-09 00:15