Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula v Emma Navarro

2026-09-08 15:30 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 77.61%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -8.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.10%77.61%77.70%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.55%81.30%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Emma Navarro (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.39%4.47cote équitable
EV +7.45%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.96%
Croissance +0.146%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%22.39%22.30%24.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.204.8026.32%23.93%23.81%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 77.61% ; Emma Navarro (Visiteur) : 22.39%. Pour Emma Navarro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.47. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.80, pour une espérance positive de +7.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.86%E -5.72%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +7.45%E +1.55%K +1.96%G +0.146%4.2%2026-09-07 03:30
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.09%E -5.03%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +0.960%E +0.213%K +0.273%G +0.003%4.8%2026-09-07 03:55
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.76%E -3.03%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.736%E +0.164%K +0.210%G +0.002%2.9%2026-09-07 08:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.50%E -0.342%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 08:05
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.50%E -0.342%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 06:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.64%E -6.42%K -40.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -1.50%E -0.342%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.42%E -7.13%K -46.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.50%E -0.342%K -0.442%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 06:20
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.72%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.28%EV -2.40%E -0.550%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 07:50
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.07%E -0.709%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 06:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.86%E -5.72%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.07%E -0.709%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 06:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.74%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 08:05
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.76%E -3.03%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 07:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.76%E -3.03%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 07:55
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 07:50
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 07:34
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -6.09%E -5.03%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -5.31%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 08:05
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -6.09%E -5.03%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -5.31%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 08:04
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:56
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:09
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:05
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.86%E -5.72%K -34.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 03:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.10%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 07:40
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -7.55%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.53%E -3.69%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 07:54
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.09%E -5.03%K -28.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.46%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 07:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.46%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 07:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.46%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 07:34
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.46%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 07:40
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.46%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 07:34
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.31%E -4.35%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.46%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 07:35
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -10.90%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 07:35
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -6.86%E -5.72%K -34.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.58%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 08:05
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.98%E -2.39%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.21%E -1.75%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -14.93%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 07:59
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.21%E -1.75%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -14.93%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:00
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.15%EV -7.64%E -6.42%K -40.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -14.93%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-09-07 07:35
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-09-07 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-09-07 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-09-07 07:40
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-09-07 07:45
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-09-07 08:15