Langue:Français
Jessica Pegula v Emma Navarro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prévision 76.40%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -7.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.55%76.39%76.35%78.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Emma Navarro (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.60%4.24cote équitable
EV +6.19%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.110%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.33%23.61%23.65%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.024.034.5027.03%24.88%24.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 76.40% ; Emma Navarro (Visiteur) : 23.60%. Pour Emma Navarro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.24. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +6.19%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.19%E +1.38%K +1.77%G +0.110% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 23:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.766%E +0.179%K +0.234%G +0.002% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.294%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.32%E -6.93%K -41.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 03:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.07%E -0.498%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.673%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.673%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 00:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.90%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 02:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.97%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.36%EV -6.31%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 11:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.20%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.20%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.21%E -1.72%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 07:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 00:07 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |