Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Emma Navarro

Início: 2026-09-09 00:18 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Emma Navarro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 76.40%1.31odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -7.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.55%76.39%76.35%78.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Previsão 23.60%4.24odd justa
EV +6.19%
Vantagem +1.38%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.110%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%23.61%23.65%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.024.034.5027.03%24.88%24.81%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 76.40%; Emma Navarro (Visitante): 23.60%. Para Emma Navarro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.24. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.19%E +1.38%K +1.77%G +0.110%4.2%2026-09-08 23:18
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.766%E +0.179%K +0.234%G +0.002%2.2%2026-09-09 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.294%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:50
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.32%E -6.93%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.886%E -0.211%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 03:50
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.07%E -0.498%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.673%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.673%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:45
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:04
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.25%E -0.792%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 00:13
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.90%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:44
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 02:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:50
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:56
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:49
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.64%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.97%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.36%EV -6.31%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 11:04
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.03%E -4.90%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 23:44
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 21:35
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.20%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -8.20%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -2.97%E -2.34%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:35
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.73%E -2.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:35
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 05:29
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.21%E -1.72%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 21:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 00:15
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 07:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.50%E -3.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.79%E -5.57%K -30.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 00:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-09 00:15
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-09-09 00:15
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-09-09 00:15
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-09-09 00:15