Language:English
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)
Prediction 18.52%5.40fair odd
EV +6.50%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.54%18.43%18.57%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.235.255.7522.22%19.11%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 81.48%1.23fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -11.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%81.57%81.43%83.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 18.52%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 81.48%. For Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +6.50%E +1.13%K +1.37%G +0.089% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +5.57%E +0.978%K +1.19%G +0.066% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.93%E -7.02%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.20%EV +5.20%E +0.916%K +1.11%G +0.058% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.80%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 06:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.35%EV +4.09%E +0.728%K +0.886%G +0.036% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.65%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.83%E -0.346%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -1.83%E -0.346%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -2.02%E -0.382%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 06:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.85%EV -5.91%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.15%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.28%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.24%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.24%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.93%E -7.02%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 01:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.17%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.10%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 01:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.65%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.23%E -1.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.65%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 01:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |