Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Elena Rybakina

2026-09-03 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

19%

81%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prediction 19.40%5.16fair odd

EV +1.83%

Edge +0.348%

Kelly +0.430%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.84%19.60%19.18%21.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.204.764.825.2523.81%21.00%20.73%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visit)

Prediction 80.60%1.24fair odd

EV -3.27%

Edge -2.73%

Kelly -16.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.50%80.40%80.82%82.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.68%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 19.40%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 80.60%. For Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.83%E +0.348%K +0.430%G +0.008%	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.48%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-02 05:35
SportsBet🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.83%E +0.348%K +0.430%G +0.008%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 05:00
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-02 05:05
betfred_uk🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-02 05:30
Bet Right🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-02 06:00
888sport🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-02 06:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 06:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 06:50
Caesars🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-02 05:36
Marathon Bet🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-02 05:55
Winamax (DE)🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-02 05:24
Betr (AU)🎯	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.93%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-02 05:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-02 05:25
Bovada🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-02 05:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-02 05:20
GTbets🎯	4.63I 21.60%NM 20.31%EV -10.20%E -2.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.69%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.15%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-02 05:05
DraftKings🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 05:00
theScore Bet🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.69%E -4.87%K -33.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-02 05:25
LeoVegas🎯	4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.75%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.62%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-02 05:25
PlayUp🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.48%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-02 06:24
Betclic (FR)🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.70%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-09-02 05:25
ReBet🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -16.60%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.70%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-09-02 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -18.54%E -4.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.70%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-09-02 05:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -18.54%E -4.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-09-02 05:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%	1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%	2.0%	2026-09-02 05:30
Novig◎	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%	5.0%	2026-09-02 06:40
Smarkets◎	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%	1.13I 88.50%NM 78.39%	12.9%	2026-09-02 05:25
Matchbook◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%	1.09I 91.74%NM 79.40%	15.6%	2026-09-02 06:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%	1.08I 92.59%NM 79.55%	16.4%	2026-09-02 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%	1.08I 92.59%NM 79.55%	16.4%	2026-09-02 06:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%	1.08I 92.59%NM 79.55%	16.4%	2026-09-02 06:10