Idioma:Español
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)
Predicción 18.52%5.40momio equitativo
EV +6.50%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.54%18.43%18.57%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.235.255.7522.22%19.11%19.05%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 81.48%1.23momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -11.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.95%81.57%81.43%83.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.26%86.21%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 18.52%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 81.48%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.40. 23 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.50%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +6.50%E +1.13%K +1.37%G +0.089% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +5.57%E +0.978%K +1.19%G +0.066% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.93%E -7.02%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.20%EV +5.20%E +0.916%K +1.11%G +0.058% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.80%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 06:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.35%EV +4.09%E +0.728%K +0.886%G +0.036% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.65%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.83%E -0.346%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -1.83%E -0.346%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -2.02%E -0.382%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 06:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.85%EV -5.91%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.15%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.28%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.24%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.24%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.93%E -7.02%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 01:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.17%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.10%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 01:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.65%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.23%E -1.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.65%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 01:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 01:45 |