Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 01:49 UTC

Score final : Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prévision 18.52%5.40cote équitable
EV +6.50%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.54%18.43%18.57%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.235.255.7522.22%19.11%19.05%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.48%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -11.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%81.57%81.43%83.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.161.161.2088.50%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local) : 18.52% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 81.48%. Pour Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.40. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +6.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +6.50%E +1.13%K +1.37%G +0.089%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +5.57%E +0.978%K +1.19%G +0.066%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.93%E -7.02%K -61.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:50
GTbets🎯5.68I 17.61%NM 17.20%EV +5.20%E +0.916%K +1.11%G +0.058%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.80%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 06:45
Pinnacle🎯5.62I 17.79%NM 17.35%EV +4.09%E +0.728%K +0.886%G +0.036%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.65%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 01:45
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 01:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 09:05
MyBookie.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:34
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.87%E +0.340%K +0.415%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.83%E -0.346%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 01:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -1.83%E -0.346%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 17:35
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -2.02%E -0.382%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:45
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:20
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:15
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 06:19
BetAnything🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:45
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.76%E -0.526%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:20
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 06:20
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.69%E -0.709%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:45
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.54%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 01:44
DraftKings🎯5.08I 19.69%NM 18.85%EV -5.91%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.15%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:45
NordicBet🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.28%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 01:45
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:24
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:05
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 00:09
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:45
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 01:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:24
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:15
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:15
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 01:45
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.39%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:05
Betsson🎯4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 01:45
ReBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.24%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 01:45
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.24%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.93%E -7.02%K -61.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 01:26
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.17%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 01:45
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.10%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.65%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.23%E -1.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.65%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-09-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-09-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-09-04 01:35
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-04 01:45
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%0.8%2026-09-04 01:46
ProphetX◎5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22%1.4%2026-09-04 01:45
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%1.8%2026-09-04 01:45
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-09-04 01:45