Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Veronika Erjavec
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 84.24%1.19fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -28.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%84.30%84.23%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.121.1490.91%88.84%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Veronika Erjavec (Visit)
Prediction 15.76%6.35fair odd
EV +10.32%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.178%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.70%15.77%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.036.007.0018.18%16.59%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 84.24%; Veronika Erjavec (Visit): 15.76%. For Veronika Erjavec (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.34%E -6.67%K -73.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.32%E +1.47%K +1.72%G +0.178% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.67%K -73.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.867%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 03:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +0.236%E +0.037%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.709%E -0.113%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.29%E -0.369%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.86%E -0.633%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.660%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.660%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.65%E -0.769%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 10:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 06:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 09:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 06:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.01%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.01%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 22:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -7.80%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -8.59%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.17%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.74%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.74%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |