Idioma:Español
Jasmine Paolini v Veronika Erjavec
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Predicción 84.24%1.19momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -3.48%
Kelly -28.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.83%84.30%84.23%86.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.121.1490.91%88.84%89.29%87.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Veronika Erjavec (Visitante)
Predicción 15.76%6.35momio equitativo
EV +10.32%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.178%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%15.70%15.77%17.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.036.007.0018.18%16.59%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 84.24%; Veronika Erjavec (Visitante): 15.76%. Para Veronika Erjavec (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.35. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.34%E -6.67%K -73.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.32%E +1.47%K +1.72%G +0.178% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.67%K -73.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.867%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 03:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +0.236%E +0.037%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 11:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.709%E -0.113%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.29%E -0.369%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.86%E -0.633%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.660%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.660%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.65%E -0.769%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 10:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 06:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 09:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 06:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.01%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.01%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 22:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -7.80%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -8.59%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.17%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.74%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.74%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 08:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |