Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jasmine Paolini v Veronika Erjavec

Inizio: 2026-08-30 15:03 UTC

Finale: Jasmine Paolini 2–1 Veronika Erjavec

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jasmine Paolini (Casa)

Previsione 84.24%1.19quota equa
EV -3.97%
Vantaggio -3.48%
Kelly -28.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.83%84.30%84.23%86.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.131.121.1490.91%88.84%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Veronika Erjavec (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.76%6.35quota equa
EV +10.32%
Vantaggio +1.47%
Kelly +1.72%
Crescita +0.178%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.58%15.70%15.77%17.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.036.007.0018.18%16.59%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jasmine Paolini (Casa): 84.24%; Veronika Erjavec (Trasferta): 15.76%. Per Veronika Erjavec (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.35. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.32%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.34%E -6.67%K -73.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.32%E +1.47%K +1.72%G +0.178%5.2%2026-08-30 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011%3.1%2026-08-28 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011%3.1%2026-08-30 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011%4.7%2026-08-29 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.67%K -73.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.44%E +0.376%K +0.444%G +0.011%6.3%2026-08-29 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.867%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-30 03:04
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +0.236%E +0.037%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 11:35
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.709%E -0.113%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.50%E -0.240%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.29%E -0.369%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.86%E -0.633%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.660%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.660%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 02:49
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.65%E -0.769%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:05
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 10:13
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 04:45
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 06:20
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 09:41
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 06:06
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 03:06
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.44%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 03:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.01%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.01%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 03:05
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -7.49%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 22:12
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -7.80%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 10:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -8.59%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:26
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 12:14
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 11:29
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.38%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.17%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.74%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 12:15
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.74%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 12:15
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 07:50
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.97%E -3.48%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 19:25
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 02:50
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.81%E -4.26%K -36.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:10
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.65%E -5.05%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.32%E -2.42%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 14:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76%1.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-08-30 14:25
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-08-30 11:30