Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Magdalena Frech

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 01:07 UTC

Final: Iva Jović 2–0 Magdalena Frech

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 74.00%1.35fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -9.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%73.99%74.17%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3180.65%77.65%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visit)

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV +6.60%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.140%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%26.01%25.83%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.574.1030.30%27.80%28.01%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 74.00%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 26.00%. For Magdalena Frech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.60%E +1.61%K +2.13%G +0.140%4.4%2026-09-02 00:51
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.29%EV -8.24%E -6.65%K -34.33%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV +3.74%E +0.937%K +1.25%G +0.047%5.7%2026-09-02 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.40%E +0.359%K +0.483%G +0.007%3.2%2026-09-02 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +0.100%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 01:05
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 00:20
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:05
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:04
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 00:51
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.02%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.02%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.06%E -2.34%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 00:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 00:55
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 00:25
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 01:05
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -7.18%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.06%E -2.34%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:50
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 08:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 01:05
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:56
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-02 00:56
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.6%2026-09-02 01:05
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-02 01:05