Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Magdalena Frech

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 74.63%1.34fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -12.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.25%74.60%74.66%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.271.2982.64%79.18%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visit)

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.493%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%25.40%25.34%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.733.804.0031.75%26.81%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iva Jović (Local): 74.63%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 25.37%. For Magdalena Frech (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +1.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.95%E -7.34%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.48%E +0.370%K +0.493%G +0.007%7.0%2026-08-27 20:34
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.73%E -2.89%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 21:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.60%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:15
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -4.47%E -3.49%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -4.61%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.86%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.86%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.97%E -4.73%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.86%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.97%E -4.73%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.86%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.63%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.22%E -4.11%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.97%E -4.73%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.67%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.46%E -6.01%K -31.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.67%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-27 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.71%E -5.37%K -26.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 20:35
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.39%EV -7.46%E -6.01%K -31.08%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.61%EV -13.24%E -3.87%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-27 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.25%EV -9.70%E -8.01%K -46.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -20.09%E -6.38%K -9.34%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-27 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%12.3%2026-08-27 20:36