Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iva Jović v Magdalena Frech

Inizio: 2026-09-02 01:07 UTC

Finale: Iva Jović 2–0 Magdalena Frech

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iva Jović (Casa)

Previsione 74.00%1.35quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -2.34%
Kelly -9.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.04%73.99%74.17%76.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.291.291.3180.65%77.65%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV +6.60%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.140%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.36%26.01%25.83%27.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.603.574.1030.30%27.80%28.01%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Iva Jović (Casa): 74.00%; Magdalena Frech (Trasferta): 26.00%. Per Magdalena Frech (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.85. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.60%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.60%E +1.61%K +2.13%G +0.140%4.4%2026-09-02 00:51
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.29%EV -8.24%E -6.65%K -34.33%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV +3.74%E +0.937%K +1.25%G +0.047%5.7%2026-09-02 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.40%E +0.359%K +0.483%G +0.007%3.2%2026-09-02 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +0.100%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 01:05
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 00:20
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:05
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:04
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 00:51
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.02%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.02%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.06%E -2.34%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 00:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 00:55
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 00:25
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 01:05
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -7.18%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.06%E -2.34%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:50
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 08:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 01:05
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:56
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-02 00:56
ProphetX◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.6%2026-09-02 01:05
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-02 01:05