Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iva Jović v Magdalena Frech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 01:07 UTC

Score final : Iva Jović 2–0 Magdalena Frech

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prévision 74.00%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -9.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.04%73.99%74.17%76.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.291.3180.65%77.65%77.52%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV +6.60%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.140%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%26.01%25.83%27.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.574.1030.30%27.80%28.01%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iva Jović (Local) : 74.00% ; Magdalena Frech (Visiteur) : 26.00%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +6.60%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +6.60%E +1.61%K +2.13%G +0.140%4.4%2026-09-02 00:51
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.29%EV -8.24%E -6.65%K -34.33%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV +3.74%E +0.937%K +1.25%G +0.047%5.7%2026-09-02 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.40%E +0.359%K +0.483%G +0.007%3.2%2026-09-02 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +0.100%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 01:05
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 00:20
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.20%E -0.316%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:05
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:04
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 00:51
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.50%E -0.667%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.02%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.02%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.06%E -2.34%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 00:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 00:55
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 00:25
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.76%E -5.36%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 01:05
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -7.18%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.06%E -2.34%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:50
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 07:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 08:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 01:05
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 01:05
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.54%E -3.52%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.28%E -4.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:56
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-02 00:56
ProphetX◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.6%2026-09-02 01:05
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-02 00:55
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-02 01:05