Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro v Caty McNally

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 17:18 UTC

Final: Emma Navarro 2–1 Caty McNally

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prediction 54.51%1.83fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.44%54.59%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.12%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Caty McNally (Visit)

Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -0.837%
Edge -0.384%
Kelly -0.709%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.56%45.41%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.072.1850.00%48.33%48.31%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 54.51%; Caty McNally (Visit): 45.49%. For Caty McNally (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.837%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:10
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.837%E -0.384%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 16:45
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:15
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 15:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 01:54
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:19
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 04:29
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:30
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 04:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 13:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-09-02 17:11
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-02 17:16
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-09-02 17:15