Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Emma Navarro v Caty McNally

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 17:18 UTC

Score final : Emma Navarro 2–1 Caty McNally

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 54.51%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.44%54.59%55.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.12%57.14%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Caty McNally (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.49%2.20cote équitable
EV -0.837%
Avantage -0.384%
Kelly -0.709%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%45.56%45.41%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.072.1850.00%48.33%48.31%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Emma Navarro (Local) : 54.51% ; Caty McNally (Visiteur) : 45.49%. Pour Caty McNally (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.18, pour une espérance de -0.837% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:10
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.837%E -0.384%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 16:45
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:15
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 15:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 01:54
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:19
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 04:29
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:30
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 04:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 13:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-09-02 17:11
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-02 17:16
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-09-02 17:15