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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Emma Navarro v Caty McNally

Inicio: 2026-09-02 17:18 UTC

Final: Emma Navarro 2–1 Caty McNally

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Predicción 54.51%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.44%54.59%55.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.12%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 45.49%2.20momio equitativo
EV -0.837%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -0.709%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%45.56%45.41%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.072.072.1850.00%48.33%48.31%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Emma Navarro (Local): 54.51%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 45.49%. Para Caty McNally (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.20. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.18, con un valor esperado de -0.837%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:10
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.21%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.837%E -0.384%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 16:45
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:15
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 15:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 01:54
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:19
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 04:29
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:30
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 04:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 13:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-09-02 17:11
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-09-02 17:16
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-09-02 17:15