Language:English
Emiliana Arango v Xinyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emiliana Arango (Local)
Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV +5.97%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.125%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%27.66%27.42%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.46%28.57%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xinyu Wang (Visit)
Prediction 72.55%1.38fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +3.92%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%72.34%72.58%74.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.301.301.4078.74%76.70%76.92%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emiliana Arango (Local): 27.45%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 72.55%. For Emiliana Arango (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%EV +5.97%E +1.55%K +2.09%G +0.125% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.95%E +0.786%K +1.07%G +0.032% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.87%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -1.44%E -0.402%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -1.44%E -0.402%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.54%E -0.716%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.54%E -0.716%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.82%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.79%E -2.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.09%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.84%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -17.64%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +1.57%E +1.12%K +3.92%G +0.061% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |