Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Emiliana Arango v Xinyu Wang

Início: 2026-08-30 18:50 UTC

Final: Emiliana Arango 0–2 Xinyu Wang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Emiliana Arango (Local)

Previsão 27.45%3.64odd justa
EV +5.97%
Vantagem +1.55%
Kelly +2.09%
Crescimento +0.125%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.34%27.66%27.42%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.46%28.57%25.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Previsão 72.55%1.38odd justa
EV +1.57%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +3.92%
Crescimento +0.061%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%72.34%72.58%74.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.301.301.4078.74%76.70%76.92%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Emiliana Arango (Local): 27.45%; Xinyu Wang (Visitante): 72.55%. Para Emiliana Arango (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.64. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.86, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.97%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%EV +5.97%E +1.55%K +2.09%G +0.125%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.95%E +0.786%K +1.07%G +0.032%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 16:09
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:10
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:24
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:18
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.87%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -1.44%E -0.402%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -1.44%E -0.402%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.54%E -0.716%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 17:29
SportsBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.54%E -0.716%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:05
Pinnacle🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.82%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.79%E -2.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.09%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:05
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:29
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:05
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:00
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:05
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:05
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:29
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:23
DraftKings🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.84%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:25
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 11:10
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:05
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 11:10
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 11:10
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:30
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:01
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:45
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:01
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:25
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -17.64%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +1.57%E +1.12%K +3.92%G +0.061%4.8%2026-08-28 20:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-30 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-30 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-30 17:00
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-30 16:45
ProphetX◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-08-30 18:45
Novig◎3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95%1.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-08-30 16:45