Idioma:Español
Emiliana Arango v Xinyu Wang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Emiliana Arango (Local)
Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV +5.97%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +2.09%
Crecimiento +0.125%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.34%27.66%27.42%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.46%28.57%25.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Xinyu Wang (Visitante)
Predicción 72.55%1.38momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +3.92%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%72.34%72.58%74.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.301.301.4078.74%76.70%76.92%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Emiliana Arango (Local): 27.45%; Xinyu Wang (Visitante): 72.55%. Para Emiliana Arango (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.64. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.86, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.97%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%EV +5.97%E +1.55%K +2.09%G +0.125% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +2.95%E +0.786%K +1.07%G +0.032% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.583%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.17%E -0.325%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.87%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -1.44%E -0.402%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -1.44%E -0.402%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.54%E -0.716%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.54%E -0.716%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.82%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.79%E -2.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.09%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.84%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -17.64%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +1.57%E +1.12%K +3.92%G +0.061% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |