Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry v Sorana Cirstea

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 15:04 UTC

Final: Diane Parry 0–2 Sorana Cirstea

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prediction 29.28%3.42fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +0.789%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%29.40%29.35%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.5133.33%30.95%30.77%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visit)

Prediction 70.72%1.41fair odd
EV -0.990%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.60%70.65%72.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.4075.19%74.16%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diane Parry (Local): 29.28%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 70.72%. For Diane Parry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV +2.77%E +0.789%K +1.10%G +0.031%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +1.01%E +0.293%K +0.413%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:45
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.453%E -0.133%K -0.189%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.21%E -0.662%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 14:46
LowVig.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.21%E -0.662%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 14:45
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 11:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:45
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:45
ReBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.97%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 13:04
BetUS🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 12:30
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 17:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:29
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:29
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 03:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:45
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:46
MyBookie.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:55
DraftKings🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:46
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.72%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:10
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 02:30
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:41
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
NordicBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 11:55
Betsson🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 11:55
SportsBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:20
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 13:09
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:05
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.990%E -0.707%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:05
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%-0.1%2026-09-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-09-02 14:50
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-09-02 14:55