Idioma:Español
Diane Parry v Sorana Cirstea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Diane Parry (Local)
Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV +2.77%
Ventaja +0.789%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%29.40%29.35%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.253.5133.33%30.95%30.77%28.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)
Predicción 70.72%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.990%
Ventaja -0.707%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.60%70.65%72.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.351.351.4075.19%74.16%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Diane Parry (Local): 29.28%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 70.72%. Para Diane Parry (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.42. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.51, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.77%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV +2.77%E +0.789%K +1.10%G +0.031% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +1.01%E +0.293%K +0.413%G +0.004% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.453%E -0.133%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.21%E -0.662%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.21%E -0.662%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.97%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.72%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 02:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.990%E -0.707%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | -0.1% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |