Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry v Sorana Cirstea

Início: 2026-09-02 15:04 UTC

Final: Diane Parry 0–2 Sorana Cirstea

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry (Local)

Previsão 29.28%3.42odd justa
EV +2.77%
Vantagem +0.789%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.78%29.40%29.35%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.253.5133.33%30.95%30.77%28.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Previsão 70.72%1.41odd justa
EV -0.990%
Vantagem -0.707%
Kelly -2.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.60%70.65%72.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.351.351.4075.19%74.16%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Diane Parry (Local): 29.28%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 70.72%. Para Diane Parry (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.42. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.51, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.77%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV +2.77%E +0.789%K +1.10%G +0.031%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +1.01%E +0.293%K +0.413%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:45
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.453%E -0.133%K -0.189%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.21%E -0.662%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 14:46
LowVig.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.21%E -0.662%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 14:45
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 11:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:45
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:45
ReBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.97%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 13:04
BetUS🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 12:30
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 17:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:29
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:29
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 02:30
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 03:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:45
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:46
MyBookie.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 11:55
DraftKings🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:46
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.72%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 14:10
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:50
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 02:30
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.23%E -3.91%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:41
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
NordicBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 11:55
Betsson🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 11:55
SportsBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:20
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.53%E -3.35%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 13:09
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:05
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.94%E -4.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.990%E -0.707%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:05
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.82%E -2.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%-0.1%2026-09-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-09-02 14:55
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-09-02 14:50
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-09-02 14:55