Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 2.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 63.24%; Himeno Sakatsume (Visit): 36.76%. For Cristina Bucsa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.15%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 13:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.52%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 09:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 05:32 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |