Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cristina Bucsa v Himeno Sakatsume

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 19:11 UTC

Score final : Cristina Bucsa 2–1 Himeno Sakatsume

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Prévision 63.24%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -3.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%63.16%63.40%64.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.511.511.5568.03%66.12%66.23%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Himeno Sakatsume (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.76%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.99%36.84%36.60%39.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.542.6541.67%39.18%39.29%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cristina Bucsa (Local) : 63.24% ; Himeno Sakatsume (Visiteur) : 36.76%. Pour Cristina Bucsa (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.58. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.55, pour une espérance de -1.98% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 18:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:39
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.15%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 09:50
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 16:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 16:45
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 13:50
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 16:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 13:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 09:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:10
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:10
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:24
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 09:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.52%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 13:40
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 09:45
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 09:55
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 09:50
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:09
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:49
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:50
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:32
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-03 18:25
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-09-03 18:45
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-09-03 18:50