Idioma:Español
Cristina Bucsa v Himeno Sakatsume
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Predicción 63.24%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%63.16%63.40%64.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.511.511.5568.03%66.12%66.23%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante)
Predicción 36.76%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%36.84%36.60%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.542.6541.67%39.18%39.29%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 63.24%; Himeno Sakatsume (Visitante): 36.76%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.58. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.55, con un valor esperado de -1.98%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.15%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 13:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.68%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.52%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 09:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.62%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 05:32 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-03 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |