StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 20:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 58.07%1.72rättvist odds
EV -1.29%
Fördel -0.757%
Kelly -1.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.19%58.19%58.14%60.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.631.641.7063.69%61.26%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Borta)

Prognos 41.93%2.38rättvist odds
EV +2.74%
Fördel +1.12%
Kelly +1.89%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.25%41.81%41.86%43.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.072.292.302.4548.31%43.62%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 58.07%; Elena Rybakina (Borta): 41.93%. För Elena Rybakina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.38. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.45, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.74%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -7.67%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +2.74%E +1.12%K +1.89%G +0.052%3.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.4%2026-09-12 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV +1.06%E +0.439%K +0.751%G +0.008%2.8%2026-09-12 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV +1.06%E +0.439%K +0.751%G +0.008%2.8%2026-09-12 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.639%E +0.266%K +0.457%G +0.003%3.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.199%E -0.084%K -0.144%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.46%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:09
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.46%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:10
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.30%E -0.985%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.87%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:56
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:56
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:10
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:09
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.39%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.39%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 19:26
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:21
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:35
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.91%E -3.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:50
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:29
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:31
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.29%E -0.757%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.29%E -0.757%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.67%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.29%EV -13.20%E -6.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-09-12 19:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-09-12 19:50
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-09-12 19:56
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-09-12 19:56