Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-09-12 20:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 58.07%1.72odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.757%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.19%58.19%58.14%60.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.631.641.7063.69%61.26%60.98%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 41.93%2.38odd justa
EV +2.74%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.25%41.81%41.86%43.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.292.302.4548.31%43.62%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 58.07%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 41.93%. Para Elena Rybakina (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.38. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -7.67%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +2.74%E +1.12%K +1.89%G +0.052%3.7%2026-09-12 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.4%2026-09-12 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV +1.06%E +0.439%K +0.751%G +0.008%2.8%2026-09-12 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV +1.06%E +0.439%K +0.751%G +0.008%2.8%2026-09-12 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.639%E +0.266%K +0.457%G +0.003%3.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.199%E -0.084%K -0.144%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.46%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:09
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.46%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:10
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.30%E -0.985%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:26
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.87%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:56
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:56
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:10
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:09
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.39%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.39%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 19:26
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:21
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:35
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.91%E -3.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:50
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:29
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:31
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.29%E -0.757%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.29%E -0.757%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.67%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.29%EV -13.20%E -6.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-09-12 19:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-09-12 19:50
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-12 19:56
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-09-12 19:56
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-09-12 19:56